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股票市场风险的多重分形分析

2004-09-15分类号:F832.5

【作者】施锡铨  艾克凤
【部门】上海财经大学金融学院   海理工大学理学院
【摘要】Financial risk is ascribed to stochastic walk of returns. We find that the returns of stock markets don't follow stochastic walk, so it is imperfect to measure the risk with variance.The paper analyzes the return series of China stock markets and America stock markets with MF-DFA method. We deduce a conclusion that both of the two markets have character of multifractal. The multifractal character of China stock markets is more salient than the latter. A quantitative measurement of risk is concluded when we combine the multifractal character with factual risk.
【关键词】随机游动  多重分形  广义Hurst指数
【基金】
【所属期刊栏目】统计研究
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