标题
  • 标题
  • 作者
  • 关键词

中国股市波动与宏观经济因素波动间的协整关系研究

2004-04-15分类号:F224

【作者】晏艳阳  李治  许均平
【部门】湖南大学金融学院   湖南大学金融学院   湖南大学金融学院
【摘要】The paper analyses the short-term,long-term,cause and effect relationship betw een Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Market Indexes of China and macro economic facto rs by using econometric methodology of time series of co-integrate relationship test,VEC model and granger cause and effect relationship test. The result of ex perimental analysis indicates co-integrate relationship between fluctuating of Indexes and indicators of M1,securities issued and short-term lending interest rate. And granger cause and effect relationship test indicates strong cause and effect relationship between fluctuating of the Indexes and indicators of retail sale prices and exports. All these demonstrate that Chinese stock markets refle ct the situation of macro economy to some extent.
【关键词】股市波动  宏观经济因素  协整
【基金】
【所属期刊栏目】统计研究
文献传递