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格兰杰因果检验在我国经济周期研究中的应用

2002-02-15分类号:F222.33

【作者】卢万青  沈培喜
【部门】中山大学岭南学院   中山大学研究生院招生办公室
【摘要】One of the main characteristics for business cycle is the co\|movements of many broadly defined economic aggregates. Which factor mainly causes the business cycle? Western business cycle theories have different opinions on this issue. This papers uses Unit Root Test and Granger Causality Test to do positive analysis on the causality relationship of the economic aggregates of Chinese business cycle and exploits the reasons and the fluctuation mechanism of Chinese business cycle from 1977 to 1999.
【关键词】格兰杰因果检验  经济周期  投资
【基金】
【所属期刊栏目】统计研究
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