对损失规律的一种新解释:混合负二项分布及其应用
2001-04-15分类号:F840
【部门】天津财经学院金融系 中国人民大学
【摘要】Because of some practical reasons, we suppose that the claim number of a given policyholder is a negative binomial distribution and the structure function of the portfolio is a Beta distribution, then we get a mixed negative binomial distribution(i.e.negative binomial\|Beta distribution).The paper discusses the property of the mixed negative binomial distribution and its application to a set of practical data from insurance practice. The result shows that the mixed negative binomial distribution can fit the real observation of claim numbers very well. So we use this model to construct the optimal BMS to adjust the renewal premium of the policyholders. Compared with other BMS's, this one is more feasible in practice.
【关键词】混合负二项分布 索赔次数 BMS
【基金】国家自然科学基金;; CCUIPP的资助
【所属期刊栏目】统计研究
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