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中国能源需求的经济计量分析

2001-10-15分类号:F124.5

【作者】林伯强
【部门】亚洲发展银行
【摘要】Based on modern economic theory and the characteristics of Chinese energy consumption,this paper analyzes the determinants of energy demand in China,builds Chinese energy demand model,examines the long\|run relationship between China's aggregate energy consumption and the main economic variables such as GDP using the Johansen multivariate approach.It is found that there exists unique long\|run relationship among the variables in the model over the sample period.An error correction model provides an appropriate framework for forecasting the short\|run fluctuations in the aggregate demand of china.
【关键词】能源需求  协整  误差修正模型
【基金】
【所属期刊栏目】统计研究
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