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中国未来人口发展与生育政策研究

2000-05-29分类号:C924.21

【作者】江亦曼  乔晓春  于学军  李建民  原新  解振明  杨书章  刘鸿雁  陈卫  姚宗桥
【部门】国家计划生育委员会“中国未来人口发展与生育政策研究”课题组   国家计划生育委员会“中国未来人口发展与生育政策研究”课题组   国家计划生育委员会“中国未来人口发展与生育政策研究”课题组  南开大学人口与发展研究所  南开大学人口与发展研究所  中国人口信息研究中心  中?
【摘要】This is a summary report of a State Family Planning Commission's project on Future Population Development and Fertility Policy in China. The research examines China's fertility and population changes in 1990s and discusses both the positive and negative outcomes of China's family planning policy, Review of the results from some national fertility surveys reaches a conclusion that fertility norms and desires in China have undergone dramatic changes, and the couples' desire on the number of children have dropped considerably lower than the replacement level. A 50-year long population projection is prepared, showing that the regulation that only-child couples can have two children will have a very small influence on population changes in China. Finally, the report outlines a population development strategy for the next 50 years towards the stabilization of the low fertility level in the post-transitional stage.
【关键词】人口发展  现行生育政策  后人口转变  生育意愿  人口变动  更替水平  城镇人口  人口控制  中国人口  生育控制  
【基金】
【所属期刊栏目】人口研究
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